The Dawn of the New Normal

A brave new world is dawning

We’ve all heard the old adage, “The more things change, the more they stay the same.”  Well in real estate sales, you can take this cute little saying and bury it under a pile of dirt and lay an R.I.P placard on top of it.  Staying the same in this business is wishful thinking.

Consider the following five trends that are staring the average REALTOR® squarely in the face as we approach the end of 2011:

1.  Transaction Management – Never in the history of selling real estate has it become more important for the REALTOR® to stay closely involved in the transaction.  The days of writing the agreement and showing up at the settlement table to collect the commission are dead.  Between stringent inspections, mortgage approvals, title issues, appraisal valuations, complex documentation standards and increased buyer/seller expectations, agents need to hone their problem solving skills.  The most valuable sales professionals will be those that can manage this chaos.
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The Difference Between Short Sales, Foreclosures and REO’s

  
Practitioners in the real estate industry sometimes throw around acronyms and terminology that we understand, but in many cases our clients do not.

Here is a prime example: short sales, foreclosures and REO’s (Real Estate Owned).  I found this short video clip that does a great job in explaining the differences.  The guy in the video is Spencer Rascoff, the COO of Zillow.

Tryin’ to Understand the Economic Crisis

 

Everyone and their brother has an opinion or theory on how the country got into this economic situation.  Some people blame Wall Street, the financial institutions and banks; other people take direct aim at REALTORS®, builders and mortgage companies; still others impugn the American consumer and their fixation with obtaining easy money with no strings attached.

I found this short video enlightening, insightful and explains the economic predicament about as well as any that I have read, heard or seen.

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Advance! Advance!

Keep movin'!

Photo courtesy of Flickr

In a report released today by the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), the Pending Home Sales Index advanced for a fourth month in a row.  Granted, the increase was only 0.1% from April to May, but it was still good news.  In addition, the index continued a four month positive trend which is the first time that has happened in nearly five years.  On an even brighter note, the index rose a whopping 6.7% when you compare it to May of last year.

We do need to temper our enthusiasm; however, because a rise in sales contracts may not yield a like increase in completed sales.  Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist said, “Closed existing-home sales have improved but are coming in lower than expected because some contracts are delayed or falling through from the application of new appraisal rules for many transactions.”

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Are We Really in a Housing Crisis?

Is it really this bad?

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Most of our elected government officials right now are scrambling around trying to fix Humpty-Dumpty because he fell off the “Housing” wall and is supposedly shattered in a thousand pieces.  All the kings horses and all the kings men are trying to put the pieces back together again.  But what if Humpty-Dumpty doesn’t need fixing?  What if all he has is a bad cold that will run its course regardless of the medicine that is administered?  Essentially, that is what Todd Zywicki, a law professor at George Mason University, is saying.  Zywicki has done extensive research on the subject of bankruptcy and foreclosure and has appeared before Congress as an expert witness to testify on the subject.
    
In a recent article* that appeared on Forbes.com, Zywicki takes serious umbrage with the way President Obama and his administration is handling the housing situation in this country.  Obama has recently referred to the housing situation as a “crisis” that is “unraveling home ownership, the middle class and the American Dream itself.”  Zywicki’s assertion is that this just isn’t the case.  Before you unload on me and say that I’m just another conservative (I am) Republican (I am) wack-job (questionable) trying to drag down our country and the Democrats, consider this – - – I voted for him.

Zywicki’s research indicates that different parts of the country experience different sets of problems when it comes to real estate.  In other words, one size doesn’t fit all which is essentially what he argues the Obama Administration is trying to do with its housing policy.  Zywicki points to three distinct types of housing markets that exist today:

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Short Sale Principles

 

Oh No!

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Before I even begin to talk about short sales, a word of warning; these transactions are extremely complicated and time-consuming.  No homeowner should try to do one without the help of a good real estate attorney and an experienced REALTOR®.  To do otherwise, would be like walking a tightrope without a net – - – you may get to your destination but one small misstep and you’ll end up flattened like a pancake.

Let’s start with a definition: A short sale occurs when the price that can be obtained for a home when it is sold is less than what is remaining on the mortgage which will cause the lender to be “shorted” what they are due.  Usually the events that lead up to the need to consider a short sale are:

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The Abridged Version of the Stimulus Package

 

Gimmie, Gimmie, Gimmie!

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If you’re like me, you’ve had it up to here (place hand over head exactly 1’7″) with all the talk about the “stimulus package.”  There was a House version, a Senate version, a Republican version, a Democratic version, the Auto manufacturers’ version, the State Governor’s version, the Sesame Street version, etc. etc.  If you want to read the entire piece of legislation that finally got signed by President Obama known as “The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009″more power to you.  Most people though just want to know how it impacts them in their personal and professional lives.  Because you are reading a real estate related blog, I will assume that you have interest in just the portions of this legislation dealing with real estate so I will limit my review to those provisions.  Grab a cup of coffee – - – here we go!

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The Media’s Fixation with Foreclosures

Image courtesy of Flickr

Image courtesy of Flickr

Let’s face it - negative news sells!  Very seldom are headlines written by the media that have to do with positive things that happen in our society.  The real estate foreclosure situation is another event in a long line of stories that the media is sensationalizing to sell their product.  The problem is that consumers are actually buying into what the media is spewing forth as the next coming of the Black Plague.

Before I get too far into this post, I want to make two things very clear.  The first is that I want to disclose up front that I’m a real estate broker who makes his living listing and selling real estate.  I have a biased interest in promoting my product.  Secondly, I don’t want to make light of the fact that foreclosures are a terrible thing.  When a person loses their job or some catastrophic event occurs in their lives that prevents them from paying their mortgage, my heart goes out to them.  Now that my cards are on the table for all to see, let me hop up on my soapbox for a minute.

Real estate foreclosures across this nation are up.  There – I said it.  I agree with the media.  According to the latest statistics compiled by Realty Trac, a well-respected web site that tracks real estate foreclosures, they are up nationwide in November of 2008, 28.9% from the previous year.  As a consumer, if I heard that figure, it would cause me to sit up and take notice.  But what the media fails to point out are ALL the figures behind the increase.  When Realty Trac crunched their numbers for Pennsylvania, they calculated that .073% of households were involved in the foreclosure process at the end of November 2008 (No - I didn’t put my decimal in the wrong place).  Put another way, that’s about 1 out of every 1,300 households in the Commonwealth.  Do these numbers indicate that foreclosures are up in our state?  Absolutely.  But does this in any way sound like a financial epidemic of epic proportions?  There is no question that some areas of the country have been hit harder than others, but Pennsylvania is just not one of them.  In fact, Realty Trac has determined that only 5 states (California, Florida, Michigan, Nevada and Arizona) account for close to 60% of all foreclosure activity.  As mentioned previously, real estate foreclosures are not pretty.  But what is disconcerting to those of us in the real estate business is that the mass media is proclaiming that foreclosures are running rampant when in fact, especially in Pennsylvania, that just isn’t the case.